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Inter Turku B vs PKKU Prediction— Finland - Ykkönen

Group Stage ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 13:00

Inter Turku B

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

PKKU

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.9%0-24.6%0-33.7%0-4+3.9%1 1-02.8%1-16.7%1-28.0%1-36.4%1-4+6.8%2 2-02.4%2-15.8%2-26.9%2-35.5%2-4+5.8%3 3-01.4%3-13.3%3-24.0%3-33.2%3-4+3.4%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.1%4+-22.6%4+-32.0%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.3% 40.0% 2.50 -24.3%

Draw 23.6% 27.8% 3.60 -9.0%

Away win 46.1% 44.4% 2.25 +3.7%

Over 2.5 63.9% 78.1% 1.28 -18.2%

Over 3.5 59.1% 59.9% 1.67 -1.3%

BTTS 63.0% 77.5% 1.29 -18.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob63.0%

A 46% / xG 1.7-2.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.0%

#2 1–1 6.7%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–3 6.4%

#5 2–1✓ 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Turku B1.7

PKKU2.4

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 59.1%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER TURKU B · PPG 1.00

PKKU · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Inter Turku B (H) 30.3%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -24.3%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -9.0%

PKKU (A) 46.1%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +3.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Turku B face PKKU in Finland - Ykkönen on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Turku B a 30% chance, the draw 24% and PKKU 46%, so PKKU are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Inter Turku B and 2.4 for PKKU (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Turku B are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.33 for PKKU. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.7%. This match finished 2-1.

Inter Turku B vs PKKU Prediction— Finland - Ykkönen

Match Preview & Prediction

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