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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 38 Stadio Ennio Tardini· Parma Sunday, May 24, 2026 13:00
Parma logo Parma PPG 1.00
1-0 HIT CS4
Sassuolo logo Sassuolo PPG 1.11
Draw· +4.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.6%
Odds: 2.64 EV: -19.2%
Draw 31.2%
Odds: 3.35 EV: +4.5%
Away 38.2%
Odds: 2.56 EV: -2.2%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.85 -14.5%
Over 3.5 15.0% Odds: 3.10 -32.1%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.67 -18.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma
0.90
Sassuolo
1.14

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 53%
ROI -26.7%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.11)

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