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Suzhou Dongwu vs Shaanxi Union Prediction— China - League One

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 11:00

Suzhou Dongwu

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

Shaanxi Union

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-032.4%0-117.9%0-25.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.6%1-110.3%1-22.8%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-05.3%2-13.0%2-20.8%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.0%3-10.6%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.3% 30.8% 3.25 +1.7%

Draw 42.7% 32.3% 3.10 +32.4%

Away win 26.0% 46.5% 2.15 -26.5%

Over 2.5 23.8% 45.5% 2.20 -28.6%

Over 3.5 2.8% 23.8% 4.20 -52.9%

BTTS 29.3% 54.1% 1.85 -27.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -33.6%

Bet Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob29.3%

D 43% / xG 0.6-0.6 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 32.4%

#2 1–0 18.6%

#3 0–1 17.9%

#4 1–1 10.3%

#5 2–0 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suzhou Dongwu0.6

Shaanxi Union0.6

COMBINED 1.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.8% · O3.5 PROB 2.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SUZHOU DONGWU · PPG 1.00

SHAANXI UNION · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Suzhou Dongwu (H) 31.3%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +1.7%

Draw 42.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +32.4%

Shaanxi Union (A) 26.0%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -26.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Suzhou Dongwu face Shaanxi Union in China - League One on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suzhou Dongwu a 31% chance, the draw 43% and Shaanxi Union 26%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for Suzhou Dongwu and 0.6 for Shaanxi Union (1.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suzhou Dongwu are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Shaanxi Union. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +32.4%. This match finished 0-3.

Suzhou Dongwu vs Shaanxi Union Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - League One Predictions