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USA - USL Championship Saturday, May 23, 2026 23:30 
Tampa Bay PPG 2.50 
Phoenix Rising PPG 1.40
USA - USL Championship Saturday, May 23, 2026 23:30 Tampa Bay PPG 2.503-0 MISS
Phoenix Rising PPG 1.40Away· +7.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.77 -18.2%
Over 3.5 15.4% Odds: 2.95 -32.7%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.77 -14.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Tampa Bay 1.35
Phoenix Rising 0.71
Model Suggestion
Home -20.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -20.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=51.5%