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USA - USL Championship logo USA flag USA - USL Championship Group Stage Riccardo Silva Stadium Saturday, May 23, 2026 23:00
Miami FC logo Miami FC PPG 1.75
4-3 MISS
Louisville City logo Louisville City PPG 1.75
Home· +65.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.5%
Odds: 5.10 EV: +65.8%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +3.0%
Away 41.9%
Odds: 1.53 EV: -35.9%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.53 -19.5%
Over 3.5 31.4% Odds: 2.35 -26.2%
BTTS 56.8% Odds: 1.57 -10.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Miami FC
1.26
Louisville City
1.57

Model Suggestion

BTTS -10.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+65.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.75)

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