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USA - USL Championship Saturday, May 23, 2026 23:00 
Indy Eleven PPG 2.50 
Lexington PPG 0.50
USA - USL Championship Saturday, May 23, 2026 23:00 Indy Eleven PPG 2.503-1 MISS
Lexington PPG 0.50Home· +10.7% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.9% Odds: 1.80 -15.6%
Over 3.5 20.6% Odds: 3.00 -22.9%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.65 -18.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Indy Eleven 1.49
Lexington 0.83
Model Suggestion
Home +10.7% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 95%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=50.3%