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Peru - Primera División
Apertura - 16
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega· Cusco
Saturday, May 23, 2026
22:15
Cusco
PPG 2.00
1-0
HIT CS2
Atletico Grau
PPG 0.63
Away· +12.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
47.2%
Odds: 1.65
EV: -22.1%
Draw
28.8%
Odds: 3.80
EV: +5.7%
Away
24.0%
Odds: 5.00
EV: +12.0%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
35.0%
Odds: 1.83
-35.9%
Over 3.5
13.2%
Odds: 3.10
-35.4%
BTTS
48.6%
Odds: 1.77
-14.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✔
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Cusco
1.20
Atletico Grau
0.74
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=47.2%