Today / England - Non League Premier - Isthmian / Ramsgate vs Hashtag United

Ramsgate vs Hashtag United Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

Regular Season - 41 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Ramsgate

PPG 1.40 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Hashtag United

PPG 0.85 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 76.2% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+9.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-12.7%0-22.0%0-31.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-04.6%1-16.8%1-25.0%1-32.4%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.9%2-18.6%2-26.3%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.9%3-17.3%3-25.3%3-32.6%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-05.7%4+-18.4%4+-26.2%4+-33.0%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.6% 58.8% 1.70 +3.0%

Draw 18.3% 25.0% 4.00 -26.8%

Away win 21.1% 28.6% 3.50 -26.2%

Over 2.5 76.2% 69.4% 1.44 +9.7%

Over 3.5 56.7% — — —

BTTS 70.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -38.7%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob70.9%

H 61% / xG 2.5-1.5 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.6%

#2 3–1 7.3%

#3 1–1 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.3%

#5 2–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ramsgate2.5

Hashtag United1.5

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.2% · O3.5 PROB 56.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RAMSGATE · PPG 1.40

HASHTAG UNITED · PPG 0.85

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.85)

Win probability 1X2

Ramsgate (H) 60.6%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV +3.0%

Draw 18.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -26.8%

Hashtag United (A) 21.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -26.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ramsgate face Hashtag United in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ramsgate a 61% chance, the draw 18% and Hashtag United 21%, so Ramsgate are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Ramsgate and 1.5 for Hashtag United (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ramsgate are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.85 for Hashtag United. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +9.7%. This match finished 0-2.

Ramsgate vs Hashtag United Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - Non League Premier - Isthmian Predictions