Burgess Hill vs Cray Wanderers Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

England - Non League Premier - Isthmian Regular Season - 42 Home Call Carpets Community Stadium· Burgess Hill, West Sussex Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Burgess Hill PPG 1.45

4-2 MISS

Cray Wanderers PPG 1.80

BTTS· +12.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Burgess Hill face Cray Wanderers in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Burgess Hill a 32% chance, the draw 19% and Cray Wanderers 49%, so Cray Wanderers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Burgess Hill and 2.4 for Cray Wanderers (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 78% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Burgess Hill are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.80 for Cray Wanderers. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +12.0%. This match finished 4-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.8%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -12.6%

Draw 19.4%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -34.0%

Away 48.8%

Odds: 2.10 EV: +2.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 80.7% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 63.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 77.8% Odds: 1.44 +12.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 2-2 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Burgess Hill

1.94

Cray Wanderers

2.40

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.45) vs Away GOOD (1.80)