Today / England - Non League Premier - Isthmian / Whitehawk vs Potters Bar

Whitehawk vs Potters Bar Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

Regular Season - 42 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Whitehawk

PPG 1.45 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Potters Bar

PPG 0.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-14.0%0-22.3%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.6%1-18.9%1-25.1%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.4%2-19.8%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.2%3-17.2%3-24.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.7%4+-16.6%4+-23.8%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.0% 66.7% 1.50 -8.5%

Draw 19.9% 25.0% 4.00 -20.4%

Away win 19.1% 20.8% 4.80 -8.3%

Over 2.5 65.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.3% — — —

BTTS 61.0% 66.7% 1.50 -8.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -38.7%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.0%

H 61% / xG 2.2-1.2 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.8%

#2 1–1✓ 8.9%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 1–0 7.6%

#5 3–1 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Whitehawk2.2

Potters Bar1.2

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.3%

Form & verdict PPG

WHITEHAWK · PPG 1.45

POTTERS BAR · PPG 0.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.45) vs P(Home)=61.0%

Win probability 1X2

Whitehawk (H) 61.0%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -8.5%

Draw 19.9%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -20.4%

Potters Bar (A) 19.1%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV -8.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Whitehawk face Potters Bar in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Whitehawk a 61% chance, the draw 20% and Potters Bar 19%, so Whitehawk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Whitehawk and 1.2 for Potters Bar (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Whitehawk are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 0.53 for Potters Bar. This match finished 1-1.

Whitehawk vs Potters Bar Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - Non League Premier - Isthmian Predictions