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Canvey Island vs Ramsgate Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

England - Non League Premier - Isthmian logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Isthmian Regular Season - 42 The Steves Taxis Stadium· Canvey Island, Essex Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Canvey Island logo Canvey Island PPG 1.00
2-4 MISS
Ramsgate logo Ramsgate PPG 1.30
Away· +3.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Canvey Island face Ramsgate in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Canvey Island a 18% chance, the draw 20% and Ramsgate 63%, so Ramsgate are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Canvey Island and 2.2 for Ramsgate (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Canvey Island are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.30 for Ramsgate. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.6%. This match finished 2-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 17.7%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -29.2%
Draw 19.5%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -27.9%
Away 62.8%
Odds: 1.65 EV: +3.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.4% Odds: —
Over 3.5 42.3% Odds: —
BTTS 59.4% Odds: 1.50 -10.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Canvey Island
1.10
Ramsgate
2.22

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.30)

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