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Canvey Island vs Ramsgate Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

Regular Season - 42 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Canvey Island

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Ramsgate

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-18.1%0-28.9%0-36.6%0-4+6.2%1 1-04.0%1-18.8%1-29.8%1-37.3%1-4+6.8%2 2-02.2%2-14.8%2-25.4%2-34.0%2-4+3.7%3 3-00.8%3-11.8%3-22.0%3-31.5%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.7% 25.0% 4.00 -29.2%

Draw 19.5% 27.0% 3.70 -27.9%

Away win 62.8% 60.6% 1.65 +3.6%

Over 2.5 64.4% — — —

Over 3.5 42.3% — — —

BTTS 59.4% 66.7% 1.50 -10.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -38.7%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob59.4%

A 63% / xG 1.1-2.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.8%

#2 0–2 8.9%

#3 1–1 8.8%

#4 0–1 8.1%

#5 1–3 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Canvey Island1.1

Ramsgate2.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.4% · O3.5 PROB 42.3%

Form & verdict PPG

CANVEY ISLAND · PPG 1.00

RAMSGATE · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.30)

Win probability 1X2

Canvey Island (H) 17.7%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -29.2%

Draw 19.5%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -27.9%

Ramsgate (A) 62.8%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV +3.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Canvey Island face Ramsgate in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Canvey Island a 18% chance, the draw 20% and Ramsgate 63%, so Ramsgate are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Canvey Island and 2.2 for Ramsgate (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Canvey Island are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.30 for Ramsgate. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.6%. This match finished 2-4.

Canvey Island vs Ramsgate Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

Match Preview & Prediction

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