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Chatham Town vs Lewes Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

England - Non League Premier - Isthmian logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Isthmian Regular Season - 42 Bauvill Stadium· Chatham, Kent Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Chatham Town logo Chatham Town PPG 1.75
2-1 HIT CS5
Lewes logo Lewes PPG 0.75
Home· +1.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chatham Town face Lewes in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chatham Town a 83% chance, the draw 12% and Lewes 5%, so Chatham Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Chatham Town and 0.6 for Lewes (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chatham Town are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.75 for Lewes. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +1.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 82.9%
Odds: 1.22 EV: +1.1%
Draw 11.6%
Odds: 5.00 EV: -42.0%
Away 5.4%
Odds: 9.00 EV: -51.4%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.8% Odds: —
Over 3.5 45.0% Odds: —
BTTS 43.0% Odds: 1.73 -25.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 1-0
4th 4-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Chatham Town
2.83
Lewes
0.61

Model Suggestion

Home +1.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.75), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

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