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Hashtag United vs Dulwich Hamlet Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

Regular Season - 42 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Hashtag United

PPG 1.10 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Dulwich Hamlet

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.8% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-18.1%0-27.7%0-34.8%0-4+3.5%1 1-05.4%1-110.2%1-29.6%1-36.1%1-4+4.4%2 2-03.4%2-16.4%2-26.1%2-33.8%2-4+2.8%3 3-01.4%3-12.7%3-22.6%3-31.6%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-21.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.5% 45.5% 2.20 -43.9%

Draw 22.5% 27.0% 3.70 -16.8%

Away win 52.0% 39.2% 2.55 +32.6%

Over 2.5 60.8% 62.5% 1.60 -2.7%

Over 3.5 38.5% — — —

BTTS 60.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -38.7%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob60.8%

A 52% / xG 1.3-1.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 1–2✓ 9.6%

#3 0–1 8.1%

#4 0–2 7.7%

#5 2–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hashtag United1.3

Dulwich Hamlet1.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.8% · O3.5 PROB 38.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HASHTAG UNITED · PPG 1.10

DULWICH HAMLET · PPG 1.25

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.10), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Hashtag United (H) 25.5%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -43.9%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -16.8%

Dulwich Hamlet (A) 52.0%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +32.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hashtag United face Dulwich Hamlet in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hashtag United a 26% chance, the draw 23% and Dulwich Hamlet 52%, so Dulwich Hamlet are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Hashtag United and 1.9 for Dulwich Hamlet (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hashtag United are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.25 for Dulwich Hamlet. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +32.6%. This match finished 1-2.

Hashtag United vs Dulwich Hamlet Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

Match Preview & Prediction

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