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Brentwood Town vs Chichester City Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

Regular Season - 42 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Brentwood Town

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Chichester City

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-14.4%0-23.0%0-31.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-06.8%1-19.1%1-26.1%1-32.7%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.0%2-19.5%2-26.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.9%3-16.6%3-24.4%3-32.0%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-15.5%4+-23.7%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.3% 54.1% 1.85 +0.5%

Draw 21.1% 28.6% 3.50 -26.2%

Away win 24.6% 31.3% 3.20 -21.3%

Over 2.5 66.4% — — —

Over 3.5 44.6% — — —

BTTS 64.6% 71.4% 1.40 -9.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -38.7%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob64.6%

H 54% / xG 2.1-1.3 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.5%

#2 1–1 9.1%

#3 2–0 7.0%

#4 1–0 6.8%

#5 3–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brentwood Town2.1

Chichester City1.3

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.4% · O3.5 PROB 44.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BRENTWOOD TOWN · PPG 2.00

CHICHESTER CITY · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.42)

Win probability 1X2

Brentwood Town (H) 54.3%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV +0.5%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -26.2%

Chichester City (A) 24.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -21.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brentwood Town face Chichester City in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brentwood Town a 54% chance, the draw 21% and Chichester City 25%, so Brentwood Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Brentwood Town and 1.3 for Chichester City (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brentwood Town are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.42 for Chichester City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +0.5%. This match finished 2-2.

Brentwood Town vs Chichester City Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

Match Preview & Prediction

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