Carshalton vs St Albans Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

England - Non League Premier - Isthmian Regular Season - 42 War Memorial Sports Ground· Carshalton, Surrey Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Carshalton PPG 1.15

1-0 MISS

St Albans PPG 1.10

Away· +67.3% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Carshalton face St Albans in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Carshalton a 29% chance, the draw 22% and St Albans 49%, so St Albans are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Carshalton and 1.9 for St Albans (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Carshalton are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 1.10 for St Albans. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +67.3%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.8%

Odds: 1.75 EV: -49.6%

Draw 22.0%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -18.6%

Away 49.2%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +67.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.6% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 43.7% Odds: — —

BTTS 65.3% Odds: 1.57 +2.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Carshalton

1.44

St Albans

1.94

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.15), Away AVERAGE (1.10)