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Welling Utd vs Billericay Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

England - Non League Premier - Isthmian logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Isthmian Regular Season - 42 Acclaim Handling Community Stadium· Welling, Kent Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Welling Utd logo Welling Utd PPG 1.16
2-2 MISS
Billericay Town logo Billericay Town PPG 1.65
Away· +6.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Welling Utd face Billericay Town in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Welling Utd a 15% chance, the draw 19% and Billericay Town 66%, so Billericay Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Welling Utd and 2.2 for Billericay Town (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Welling Utd are averaging 1.16 points per game versus 1.65 for Billericay Town. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +6.6%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 15.2%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -36.2%
Draw 19.0%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -31.6%
Away 65.8%
Odds: 1.62 EV: +6.6%
Model lean: Away
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.2% Odds: —
Over 3.5 40.0% Odds: —
BTTS 55.7% Odds: 1.57 -12.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-1
4th 1-1
5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Welling Utd
0.98
Billericay Town
2.23

Model Suggestion

Away +6.6% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.

League Track Record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 58%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -58.6%
Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.16) vs Away GOOD (1.65)

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