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Brazil - Serie A Saturday, May 23, 2026 22:00 
Mirassol PPG 1.13 
Fluminense PPG 1.14
Brazil - Serie A Saturday, May 23, 2026 22:00 Mirassol PPG 1.131-0 MISS
Fluminense PPG 1.14Away· +16.5% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 2.15 +13.1%
Over 3.5 29.4% Odds: 4.00 +10.6%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.83 -0.1%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 0-1 ✘
5th 0-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Mirassol 1.22
Fluminense 1.51
Model Suggestion
BTTS -0.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -0.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+16.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+16.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 63 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 49%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 56% (27 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
BALANCED 60%
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.14)