Gremio vs Santos Prediction & Tips

Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 17 Arena do Grêmio· Porto Alegre Saturday, May 23, 2026 22:00

Gremio PPG 2.00

3-2 MISS

Santos PPG 0.57

Home· +5.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66% confidence

Home 48.3%

Odds: 2.18 EV: +5.3%

Draw 27.2%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -7.0%

Away 24.5%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -11.5%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.15 +2.3%

Over 3.5 22.5% Odds: 3.95 -6.7%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.85 -4.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Gremio

1.45

Santos

0.97

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=48.3%