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Brazil - Serie A logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 17 Estádio Manoel Barradas· Salvador Saturday, May 23, 2026 20:00
Vitoria logo Vitoria PPG 2.29
2-0 MISS
Internacional logo Internacional PPG 1.43
Home· +14.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.8%
Odds: 2.96 EV: +14.8%
Draw 30.9%
Odds: 3.15 EV: -2.7%
Away 30.3%
Odds: 2.42 EV: -26.7%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.15 -0.7%
Over 3.5 17.9% Odds: 4.00 -17.0%
BTTS 49.9% Odds: 1.85 -7.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Vitoria
1.15
Internacional
1.04

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs P(Home)=38.8%

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