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Brazil - Serie A
Regular Season - 17
Estádio Manoel Barradas· Salvador
Saturday, May 23, 2026
20:00
Vitoria
PPG 2.29
2-0
MISS
Internacional
PPG 1.43
Home· +14.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
38.8%
Odds: 2.96
EV: +14.8%
Draw
30.9%
Odds: 3.15
EV: -2.7%
Away
30.3%
Odds: 2.42
EV: -26.7%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.2%
Odds: 2.15
-0.7%
Over 3.5
17.9%
Odds: 4.00
-17.0%
BTTS
49.9%
Odds: 1.85
-7.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitoria
1.15
Internacional
1.04
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs P(Home)=38.8%