Lewes vs Wingate / F. Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

England - Non League Premier - Isthmian Regular Season - 41 The Dripping Pan· Lewes, East Sussex Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Lewes PPG 1.50

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Wingate / F. PPG 1.00

Away· +14.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Lewes face Wingate / F. in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lewes a 29% chance, the draw 23% and Wingate / F. 48%, so Wingate / F. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lewes and 1.8 for Wingate / F. (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lewes are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Wingate / F.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.7%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.0%

Odds: 2.70 EV: -21.7%

Draw 22.8%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -29.3%

Away 48.2%

Odds: 2.38 EV: +14.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.1% Odds: 1.70 +5.6%

Over 3.5 39.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 62.8% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lewes

1.38

Wingate / F.

1.83

Model SuggestionBTTS  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 58%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -58.6%

Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

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Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)