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Nueva Chicago vs Temperley Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 19:00

Nueva Chicago

PPG 1.17 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Temperley

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-027.9%0-114.3%0-23.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.3%1-110.9%1-22.8%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.1%2-14.2%2-21.1%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.1%3-11.1%3-20.3%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 43.5% 2.30 -18.6%

Draw 40.7% 38.5% 2.60 +5.8%

Away win 23.9% 28.2% 3.55 -9.1%

Over 2.5 25.8% 30.3% 3.30 -8.9%

Over 3.5 4.1% 12.5% 8.00 -40.3%

BTTS 41.8% 40.8% 2.45 +2.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob41.8%

H 35% / xG 0.8-0.5 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 27.9%

#2 1–0 21.3%

#3 0–1 14.3%

#4 1–1✓ 10.9%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nueva Chicago0.8

Temperley0.5

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 4.1%

Form & verdict PPG

NUEVA CHICAGO · PPG 1.17

TEMPERLEY · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.17), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Nueva Chicago (H) 35.4%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -18.6%

Draw 40.7%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +5.8%

Temperley (A) 23.9%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -9.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nueva Chicago face Temperley in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nueva Chicago a 35% chance, the draw 41% and Temperley 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Nueva Chicago and 0.5 for Temperley (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nueva Chicago are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.00 for Temperley. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Nueva Chicago vs Temperley Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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