Lazio vs Pisa Prediction & Tips

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Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 38 Stadio Olimpico· Rome Saturday, May 23, 2026 18:45

Lazio PPG 1.50

2-1 HIT CS5

Pisa PPG 0.44

Away· +18.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.4%

Odds: 1.54 EV: -19.3%

Draw 25.8%

Odds: 3.95 EV: +1.1%

Away 21.8%

Odds: 6.00 EV: +18.5%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.9% Odds: 1.80 -15.6%

Over 3.5 20.8% Odds: 2.95 -23.2%

BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.80 -12.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Lazio

1.65

Pisa

0.69

Model SuggestionHome -19.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -19.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+18.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=52.4%