Cray Wanderers vs Welling Utd Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

England - Non League Premier - Isthmian Regular Season - 41 Flamingo Park· London Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Cray Wanderers PPG 1.55

2-3 MISS

Welling Utd PPG 0.95

Over2.5· +14.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Cray Wanderers face Welling Utd in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cray Wanderers a 61% chance, the draw 19% and Welling Utd 20%, so Cray Wanderers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Cray Wanderers and 1.4 for Welling Utd (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cray Wanderers are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 0.95 for Welling Utd. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.1%. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.0%

Odds: 1.87 EV: +14.1%

Draw 18.8%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -30.4%

Away 20.3%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -34.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 72.7% Odds: 1.57 +14.1%

Over 3.5 52.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 67.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 3-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Cray Wanderers

2.42

Welling Utd

1.35

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +14.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.55) > Away POOR (0.95)