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Los Andes vs Racing Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 18:00

Los Andes

PPG 1.25 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Racing Cordoba

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-029.0%0-111.4%0-22.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-024.5%1-19.6%1-21.9%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-010.3%2-14.1%2-20.8%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.9%3-11.1%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.4% 47.6% 2.10 -13.1%

Draw 38.6% 36.4% 2.75 +6.2%

Away win 20.0% 26.0% 3.85 -13.8%

Over 2.5 25.5% 31.3% 3.20 -11.0%

Over 3.5 3.7% 14.3% 7.00 -44.5%

BTTS 29.3% 40.8% 2.45 -16.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob29.3%

H 41% / xG 0.8-0.4 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 29.0%

#2 1–0 24.5%

#3 1–1 9.6%

#4 2–0✓ 10.3%

#5 0–1 11.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Los Andes0.8

Racing Cordoba0.4

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.5% · O3.5 PROB 3.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LOS ANDES · PPG 1.25

RACING CORDOBA · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Los Andes (H) 41.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -13.1%

Draw 38.6%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +6.2%

Racing Cordoba (A) 20.0%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -13.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Los Andes face Racing Cordoba in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Los Andes a 41% chance, the draw 39% and Racing Cordoba 20%, so Los Andes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Los Andes and 0.4 for Racing Cordoba (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Los Andes are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.67 for Racing Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.2%. This match finished 2-0.

Los Andes vs Racing Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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