← Back to picks 
Croatia - HNL Saturday, May 23, 2026 16:45 
Dinamo Zagreb PPG 2.59 
Lok. Zagreb PPG 0.82
Croatia - HNL Saturday, May 23, 2026 16:45 Dinamo Zagreb PPG 2.590-0 MISS
Lok. Zagreb PPG 0.82Draw· +13.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 62.9% Odds: 1.35 -15.1%
Over 3.5 43.7% Odds: 1.85 -19.1%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.60 -17.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 3-0 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 3-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Zagreb 2.67
Lok. Zagreb 0.71
Model Suggestion
Home -14.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -14.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+13.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+13.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
STRONG_HOME 66%
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.59), Away POOR (0.82) - Strong consensus