Chichester City vs Dartford Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

England - Non League Premier - Isthmian Regular Season - 41 Oaklands Park· Chichester, West Sussex Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Chichester City PPG 1.25

2-2 MISS

Dartford PPG 1.25

Over2.5· -2.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chichester City face Dartford in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chichester City a 25% chance, the draw 22% and Dartford 53%, so Dartford are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Chichester City and 1.9 for Dartford (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chichester City are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.25 for Dartford. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 24.5%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -14.2%

Draw 22.4%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -17.1%

Away 53.2%

Odds: 1.80 EV: -4.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.3% Odds: 1.62 -2.3%

Over 3.5 38.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 60.0% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Chichester City

1.22

Dartford

1.90

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -2.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.25)