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Cheshunt vs Brentwood Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

Regular Season - 41 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Cheshunt

PPG 1.30 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Brentwood Town

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 75.2% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4% — a clear edge.

+15.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-14.3%0-24.8%0-33.6%0-4+3.4%1 1-03.3%1-17.4%1-28.3%1-36.1%1-4+5.7%2 2-02.9%2-16.4%2-27.1%2-35.2%2-4+4.9%3 3-01.6%3-13.6%3-24.0%3-33.0%3-4+2.8%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.3%4+-22.5%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.9% 33.3% 3.00 -10.3%

Draw 20.3% 26.7% 3.75 -23.9%

Away win 49.8% 51.3% 1.95 -2.9%

Over 2.5 75.2% 65.4% 1.53 +15.1%

Over 3.5 55.4% — — —

BTTS 73.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -38.7%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob73.1%

A 50% / xG 1.7-2.2 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 73%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.3%

#2 1–1 7.4%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 2–1 6.4%

#5 1–3 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cheshunt1.7

Brentwood Town2.2

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.2% · O3.5 PROB 55.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CHESHUNT · PPG 1.30

BRENTWOOD TOWN · PPG 1.70

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.30) vs Away GOOD (1.70)

Win probability 1X2

Cheshunt (H) 29.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -10.3%

Draw 20.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -23.9%

Brentwood Town (A) 49.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -2.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cheshunt face Brentwood Town in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cheshunt a 30% chance, the draw 20% and Brentwood Town 50%, so Brentwood Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Cheshunt and 2.2 for Brentwood Town (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cheshunt are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.70 for Brentwood Town. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +15.1%. This match finished 0-1.

Cheshunt vs Brentwood Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

Match Preview & Prediction

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