Aveley vs Carshalton Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

England - Non League Premier - Isthmian Regular Season - 41 Parkside Stadium· Aveley, Essex Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Aveley PPG 1.95

0-0 MISS

Carshalton PPG 0.85

Over2.5· +20.1% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Aveley face Carshalton in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aveley a 70% chance, the draw 16% and Carshalton 14%, so Aveley are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Aveley and 1.3 for Carshalton (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aveley are averaging 1.95 points per game versus 0.85 for Carshalton. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +20.1%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 70.0%

Odds: 1.60 EV: +12.0%

Draw 15.5%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -36.4%

Away 14.5%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -40.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 78.5% Odds: 1.53 +20.1%

Over 3.5 59.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 68.4% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 3-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Aveley

2.87

Carshalton

1.29

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +20.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 58%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -58.6%

Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.95), Away POOR (0.85) - Strong consensus