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Armenia - Premier League
Regular Season - 26
Charentsavan City Stadium· Charentsavan
Saturday, May 16, 2026
12:00
Van
PPG 1.38
0-1
HIT CS2
Alashkert
PPG 1.75
Home· +32.1%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
27.9%
Odds: 5.50
EV: +32.1%
Draw
27.5%
Odds: 3.75
EV: +1.9%
Away
44.6%
Odds: 1.53
EV: -31.8%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
47.6%
Odds: 1.85
-11.9%
Over 3.5
22.8%
Odds: 3.20
-16.2%
BTTS
51.6%
Odds: 1.85
-4.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-1
✔
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
0-2
✘
5th
1-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Van
0.94
Alashkert
1.49
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-4.5%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Home (+32.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.38) vs Away GOOD (1.75)