Lugano B vs Lausanne B Prediction & Tips

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Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion Regular Season - 33 Centro Sportivo Al Maglio· Canobbio Saturday, May 23, 2026 14:00

Lugano B PPG 1.25

2-2 HIT CS3

Lausanne B PPG 0.44

Home· +24.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.8%

Odds: 2.90 EV: +24.1%

Draw 22.1%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -7.0%

Away 35.1%

Odds: 2.00 EV: -29.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.33 -15.0%

Over 3.5 59.4% Odds: 1.85 +9.9%

BTTS 64.1% Odds: 1.30 -16.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✔

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lugano B

2.17

Lausanne B

1.97

Model SuggestionBTTS -16.7% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-16.7%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs P(Home)=42.8%