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Bulle vs Bruhl Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 14:00

Bulle

PPG 1.69 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bruhl

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 73.3% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-12.5%0-23.3%0-32.9%0-4+3.5%1 1-01.9%1-15.1%1-26.7%1-35.8%1-4+7.1%2 2-02.0%2-15.2%2-26.8%2-35.9%2-4+7.3%3 3-01.3%3-13.5%3-24.6%3-34.0%3-4+4.9%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.8%4+-23.7%4+-33.2%4+-4+4.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.8% 26.3% 3.80 +28.4%

Draw 22.5% 24.4% 4.10 -4.7%

Away win 43.7% 58.8% 1.70 -25.7%

Over 2.5 73.3% 75.2% 1.33 -2.5%

Over 3.5 68.2% 55.6% 1.80 +22.8%

BTTS 66.7% 75.2% 1.33 -11.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob66.7%

A 44% / xG 2.0-2.6 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.8%

#2 1–2 6.7%

#3 2–3 5.9%

#4 1–1 5.1%

#5 1–3 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulle2.0

Bruhl2.6

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.3% · O3.5 PROB 68.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BULLE · PPG 1.69

BRUHL · PPG 1.69

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away GOOD (1.69)

Win probability 1X2

Bulle (H) 33.8%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +28.4%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -4.7%

Bruhl (A) 43.7%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -25.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulle face Bruhl in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulle a 34% chance, the draw 23% and Bruhl 44%, so Bruhl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Bulle and 2.6 for Bruhl (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulle are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.69 for Bruhl. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +28.4%. This match finished 3-1.

Bulle vs Bruhl Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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