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BSC Y. Boys B vs Kriens Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 14:00

BSC Y. Boys B

PPG 1.63 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Kriens

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 69.8% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-13.2%0-23.9%0-33.1%0-4+3.4%1 1-02.5%1-16.0%1-27.4%1-36.0%1-4+6.5%2 2-02.3%2-15.7%2-27.0%2-35.7%2-4+6.2%3 3-01.5%3-13.6%3-24.4%3-33.6%3-4+3.9%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.7%4+-23.3%4+-32.7%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.9% 27.4% 3.65 +23.7%

Draw 22.5% 25.0% 4.00 -6.0%

Away win 43.6% 57.8% 1.73 -24.6%

Over 2.5 69.8% 73.5% 1.36 -5.1%

Over 3.5 63.1% 51.8% 1.93 +21.8%

BTTS 66.7% 73.5% 1.36 -9.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob66.7%

A 44% / xG 1.9-2.4 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.4%

#2 2–2 7.0%

#3 1–1 6.0%

#4 1–3 6.0%

#5 2–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BSC Y. Boys B1.9

Kriens2.4

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 63.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BSC Y. BOYS B · PPG 1.63

KRIENS · PPG 1.88

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.63), Away GOOD (1.88)

Win probability 1X2

BSC Y. Boys B (H) 33.9%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +23.7%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -6.0%

Kriens (A) 43.6%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -24.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

BSC Y. Boys B face Kriens in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BSC Y. Boys B a 34% chance, the draw 23% and Kriens 44%, so Kriens are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for BSC Y. Boys B and 2.4 for Kriens (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BSC Y. Boys B are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.88 for Kriens. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +23.7%. This match finished 0-2.

BSC Y. Boys B vs Kriens Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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