Today / Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion / Biel-Bienne vs Kreuzlingen

Biel-Bienne vs Kreuzlingen Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 14:00

Biel-Bienne

PPG 2.25 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kreuzlingen

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-12.0%0-21.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.2%1 1-05.2%1-15.9%1-23.3%1-31.3%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.5%2-18.5%2-24.8%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-07.2%3-18.2%3-24.6%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-010.5%4+-111.9%4+-26.7%4+-32.5%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.1% 77.5% 1.29 -21.2%

Draw 20.9% 20.8% 4.80 +0.2%

Away win 18.0% 11.8% 8.50 +31.8%

Over 2.5 63.9% 78.1% 1.28 -18.2%

Over 3.5 56.9% 56.8% 1.76 +0.1%

BTTS 59.7% 63.7% 1.57 -6.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.7%

H 61% / xG 2.9-1.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.5%

#2 3–1 8.2%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 3–0 7.2%

#5 1–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Biel-Bienne2.9

Kreuzlingen1.1

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 56.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BIEL-BIENNE · PPG 2.25

KREUZLINGEN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=61.1%

Win probability 1X2

Biel-Bienne (H) 61.1%

ODDS 1.29 · IMPLIED 77.5% EV -21.2%

Draw 20.9%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +0.2%

Kreuzlingen (A) 18.0%

ODDS 8.50 · IMPLIED 11.8% EV +31.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Biel-Bienne face Kreuzlingen in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Biel-Bienne a 61% chance, the draw 21% and Kreuzlingen 18%, so Biel-Bienne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Biel-Bienne and 1.1 for Kreuzlingen (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Biel-Bienne are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Kreuzlingen. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +31.8%. This match finished 4-0.

Biel-Bienne vs Kreuzlingen Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

More Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion Predictions