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Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion logo Switzerland flag Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion Regular Season - 33 Stade des Peupliers· Bavois Saturday, May 23, 2026 14:00
Bavois logo Bavois PPG 1.88
3-2 MISS
Cham logo Cham PPG 1.31
Home· +28.5% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.4%
Odds: 2.50 EV: +28.5%
Draw 23.9%
Odds: 3.85 EV: -4.8%
Away 24.7%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -26.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.42 -9.3%
Over 3.5 50.3% Odds: 2.05 +3.1%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.36 -15.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-2
4th 3-1
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Bavois
2.17
Cham
1.52

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -9.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-9.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.31)

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