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Croatia - HNL logo Croatia flag Croatia - HNL Regular Season - 36 Stadion HNK Rijeka· Rijeka Saturday, May 23, 2026 14:00
Rijeka logo Rijeka PPG 1.71
2-0 HIT CS4
Gorica logo Gorica PPG 1.00
Away· +5.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.6%
Odds: 1.68 EV: -16.7%
Draw 26.6%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -1.8%
Away 23.9%
Odds: 4.55 EV: +5.3%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.90 -12.2%
Over 3.5 18.3% Odds: 3.25 -24.3%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.80 -11.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Rijeka
1.38
Gorica
0.83

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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