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SteDoCo vs Kloetinge Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday

Group B - 34 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:30

SteDoCo

PPG 1.19 · HOME

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kloetinge

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-18.5%0-28.8%0-36.1%0-4+5.1%1 1-04.6%1-19.5%1-29.9%1-36.8%1-4+5.7%2 2-02.6%2-15.3%2-25.5%2-33.8%2-4+3.2%3 3-01.0%3-12.0%3-22.1%3-31.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.7% — — —

Draw 23.6% — — —

Away win 53.7% — — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — — —

Over 3.5 39.7% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -21.2%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-5

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob59.7%

A 54% / xG 1.1-2.1 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 8.8%

#4 0–1 8.5%

#5 1–3 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SteDoCo1.1

Kloetinge2.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.7%

Form & verdict PPG

STEDOCO · PPG 1.19

KLOETINGE · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home AVERAGE (1.19)

Win probability 1X2

SteDoCo (H) 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kloetinge (A) 53.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SteDoCo face Kloetinge in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SteDoCo a 23% chance, the draw 24% and Kloetinge 54%, so Kloetinge are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for SteDoCo and 2.1 for Kloetinge (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SteDoCo are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.75 for Kloetinge. This match finished 1-5.

SteDoCo vs Kloetinge Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday

Match Preview & Prediction

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