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Rijnvogels vs VVSB Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday

Group B - 34 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:30

Rijnvogels

PPG 2.06 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

VVSB

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.06) > Away GOOD (1.69)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-17.1%0-24.4%0-31.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.2%1-111.5%1-27.2%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.3%2-25.8%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.0%3-15.0%3-23.1%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.9%4+-21.8%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.2% — — —

Draw 25.9% — — —

Away win 26.0% — — —

Over 2.5 57.0% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 59.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -21.2%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.3%

H 48% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 9.2%

#4 2–0 7.5%

#5 0–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rijnvogels1.6

VVSB1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.0% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RIJNVOGELS · PPG 2.06

VVSB · PPG 1.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.06) > Away GOOD (1.69)

Win probability 1X2

Rijnvogels (H) 48.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

VVSB (A) 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rijnvogels face VVSB in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rijnvogels a 48% chance, the draw 26% and VVSB 26%, so Rijnvogels are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Rijnvogels and 1.2 for VVSB (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rijnvogels are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 1.69 for VVSB. This match finished 0-3.

Rijnvogels vs VVSB Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday

Match Preview & Prediction

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