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Scheveningen vs Lisse Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday

Group B - 34 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:30

Scheveningen

PPG 0.94 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Lisse

PPG 1.81 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-17.9%0-28.5%0-36.1%0-4+5.3%1 1-04.3%1-19.1%1-29.8%1-37.0%1-4+6.2%2 2-02.5%2-15.3%2-25.7%2-34.0%2-4+3.6%3 3-00.9%3-12.0%3-22.2%3-31.6%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.7% — — —

Draw 23.6% — — —

Away win 53.7% — — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — — —

Over 3.5 42.0% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -21.2%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob59.7%

A 54% / xG 1.2-2.1 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2 8.5%

#4 1–3✓ 7.0%

#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Scheveningen1.2

Lisse2.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 42.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHEVENINGEN · PPG 0.94

LISSE · PPG 1.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.81) vs Home POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

Scheveningen (H) 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lisse (A) 53.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Scheveningen face Lisse in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Scheveningen a 23% chance, the draw 24% and Lisse 54%, so Lisse are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Scheveningen and 2.1 for Lisse (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Scheveningen are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.81 for Lisse. This match finished 1-3.

Scheveningen vs Lisse Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday

Match Preview & Prediction

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