Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Skeid vs Follo

Skeid vs Follo Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 12:00

Skeid

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Follo

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-17.7%0-25.9%0-33.0%0-4+1.6%1 1-07.5%1-111.3%1-28.6%1-34.3%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.4%2-18.2%2-26.2%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.6%3-14.0%3-23.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.7% 56.5% 1.77 -35.0%

Draw 26.1% 26.3% 3.80 -0.5%

Away win 37.2% 27.4% 3.65 +35.8%

Over 2.5 59.1% 64.5% 1.55 -8.4%

Over 3.5 34.7% 42.0% 2.38 -17.4%

BTTS 59.7% 66.7% 1.50 -10.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

A 37% / xG 1.5-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 0–0 5.1%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skeid1.5

Follo1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 34.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SKEID · PPG 1.00

FOLLO · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Skeid (H) 36.7%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -35.0%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -0.5%

Follo (A) 37.2%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +35.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Skeid face Follo in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skeid a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Follo 37%, so Follo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Skeid and 1.5 for Follo (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skeid are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Follo. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +35.8%. This match finished 2-0.

Skeid vs Follo Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions