Worksop Town vs Peterborough S. Prediction— England - National League - North

England - National League - North North - 45 Sandy Lane Stadium· Worksop Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Worksop Town PPG 1.32

8-0 MISS

Peterborough S. PPG 0.67

Over2.5· -5.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Worksop Town face Peterborough S. in England - National League - North on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Worksop Town a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Peterborough S. 22%, so Worksop Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Worksop Town and 1.2 for Peterborough S. (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Worksop Town are averaging 1.32 points per game versus 0.67 for Peterborough S.. This match finished 8-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.1%

Odds: 1.68 EV: -5.8%

Draw 21.5%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -20.4%

Away 22.4%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -5.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.1% Odds: 1.53 -5.0%

Over 3.5 39.8% Odds: 2.30 -8.5%

BTTS 60.4% Odds: 1.48 -10.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Worksop Town

2.00

Peterborough S.

1.20

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -5.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -5.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.32) > Away POOR (0.67)