Telford Utd vs Darlington Prediction— England - National League - North

England - National League - North North - 45 New Bucks Head· Telford Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Telford Utd PPG 1.73

1-1 HIT CS2

Darlington PPG 1.64

Over3.5· +8.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Telford Utd face Darlington in England - National League - North on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Telford Utd a 50% chance, the draw 21% and Darlington 29%, so Telford Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Telford Utd and 1.6 for Darlington (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Telford Utd are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.64 for Darlington. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.7%

Odds: 2.10 EV: +4.4%

Draw 21.0%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -24.4%

Away 29.3%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -13.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 71.3% Odds: 1.45 +3.4%

Over 3.5 50.4% Odds: 2.15 +8.4%

BTTS 69.8% Odds: 1.40 -2.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Telford Utd

2.10

Darlington

1.59

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +3.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+8.4%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5/Under 66%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 5.4%

Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.73), Away GOOD (1.64)