Beijing Guoan vs Henan SL Prediction & Tips

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China - Super League Regular Season - 14 Beijing Workers' Stadium· Beijing Saturday, May 23, 2026 11:35

Beijing Guoan PPG 1.33

1-2 MISS

Henan SL PPG 1.14

Away· +12.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.9%

Odds: 1.58 EV: -22.7%

Draw 26.0%

Odds: 4.00 EV: +2.4%

Away 25.2%

Odds: 4.80 EV: +12.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.55 -18.5%

Over 3.5 27.6% Odds: 2.40 -20.3%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.57 -17.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Beijing Guoan

1.55

Henan SL

1.11

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -18.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -18.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+12.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.14)