Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Stjordals-Blink vs Kjelsas

Stjordals-Blink vs Kjelsas Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 11:30

Stjordals-Blink

PPG 0.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Kjelsas

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 65.1% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-16.2%0-28.7%0-38.2%0-4+11.6%1 1-02.2%1-16.1%1-28.7%1-38.2%1-4+11.6%2 2-01.1%2-13.1%2-24.3%2-34.1%2-4+5.8%3 3-00.4%3-11.0%3-21.4%3-31.4%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.8% 23.8% 4.20 -25.2%

Draw 21.1% 24.4% 4.10 -8.1%

Away win 65.1% 61.7% 1.62 +5.5%

Over 2.5 63.9% 67.6% 1.48 -5.4%

Over 3.5 53.2% 45.5% 2.20 +17.0%

BTTS 59.7% 66.7% 1.50 -10.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob59.7%

A 65% / xG 1.0-2.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 8.7%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 0–3 8.2%

#4 1–3 8.2%

#5 1–1✓ 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stjordals-Blink1.0

Kjelsas2.8

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 53.2%

Form & verdict PPG

STJORDALS-BLINK · PPG 0.00

KJELSAS · PPG 3.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Stjordals-Blink (H) 13.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -25.2%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -8.1%

Kjelsas (A) 65.1%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV +5.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stjordals-Blink face Kjelsas in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stjordals-Blink a 14% chance, the draw 21% and Kjelsas 65%, so Kjelsas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Stjordals-Blink and 2.8 for Kjelsas (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stjordals-Blink are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 3.00 for Kjelsas. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +17.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Stjordals-Blink vs Kjelsas Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions