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Jiangxi Lushan vs Wuhan TT B Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 11:30

Jiangxi Lushan

PPG 1.75 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Wuhan TT B

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.3%0-17.8%0-22.3%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.0%1-111.2%1-23.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.6%2-18.0%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.5%3-13.8%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-11.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.6% 61.0% 1.64 -15.4%

Draw 26.9% 30.3% 3.30 -6.7%

Away win 21.5% 20.8% 4.80 +1.9%

Over 2.5 44.2% 48.8% 2.05 -9.4%

Over 3.5 14.6% 26.7% 3.74 -27.2%

BTTS 46.2% 50.0% 2.00 -7.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 1.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.2%

H 52% / xG 1.4-0.6 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.0%

#2 0–0 13.3%

#3 2–0 13.6%

#4 1–1 11.2%

#5 2–1✓ 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jiangxi Lushan1.4

Wuhan TT B0.6

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.6%

Form & verdict PPG

JIANGXI LUSHAN · PPG 1.75

WUHAN TT B · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=51.6%

Win probability 1X2

Jiangxi Lushan (H) 51.6%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV -15.4%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -6.7%

Wuhan TT B (A) 21.5%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +1.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jiangxi Lushan face Wuhan TT B in China - League Two on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jiangxi Lushan a 52% chance, the draw 27% and Wuhan TT B 22%, so Jiangxi Lushan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Jiangxi Lushan and 0.6 for Wuhan TT B (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jiangxi Lushan are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.50 for Wuhan TT B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +1.9%. This match finished 2-1.

Jiangxi Lushan vs Wuhan TT B Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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