South Shields vs Bedford Town Prediction— England - National League - North

England - National League - North North - 45 1st Cloud Arena· South Shields, Tyne and Wear Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

South Shields PPG 2.45

1-1 MISS

Bedford Town PPG 1.00

Over2.5· -2.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

South Shields face Bedford Town in England - National League - North on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives South Shields a 81% chance, the draw 12% and Bedford Town 7%, so South Shields are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for South Shields and 0.8 for Bedford Town (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, South Shields are averaging 2.45 points per game versus 1.00 for Bedford Town. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 81.1%

Odds: 1.17 EV: -5.1%

Draw 11.9%

Odds: 5.80 EV: -31.0%

Away 7.0%

Odds: 13.00 EV: -9.0%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.2% Odds: 1.33 -2.6%

Over 3.5 52.8% Odds: 1.80 -5.0%

BTTS 52.7% Odds: 1.75 -7.8%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 4-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

South Shields

3.00

Bedford Town

0.81

Model SuggestionHome -5.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -5.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5/Under 66%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 5.4%

Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.45), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus