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Sweden - Superettan logo Sweden flag Sweden - Superettan Regular Season - 9 Borås Arena· Boras Saturday, May 23, 2026 11:00
Norrby logo Norrby PPG 0.67
2-1 HIT CS5
Ljungskile logo Ljungskile PPG 1.00
Home· +2.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.6%
Odds: 2.88 EV: +2.5%
Draw 27.1%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -3.1%
Away 37.2%
Odds: 2.30 EV: -14.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.75 -8.0%
Over 3.5 26.3% Odds: 2.85 -15.0%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.57 -17.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-2
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Norrby
1.19
Ljungskile
1.40

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -8.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -8.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+2.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 38%
ROI 2.9%
Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.67) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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