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Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 Saturday, May 23, 2026 11:00 
Skedsmo PPG 3.00 
Alta PPG 0.67
Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 Saturday, May 23, 2026 11:00 Skedsmo PPG 3.002-0 MISS
Alta PPG 0.67Home· +49.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.40 -10.5%
Over 3.5 57.6% Odds: 1.85 +6.6%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.35 -14.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 3-1 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 3-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Skedsmo 2.47
Alta 1.57
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -10.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-10.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=52.4%