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Strømsgodset II vs Tromsø II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 15:00

Strømsgodset II

PPG 1.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tromsø II

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.53 for Home, form 1.57 vs 0.33 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.7%0-21.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.5%1-15.1%1-23.7%1-31.8%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.3%2-17.6%2-25.6%2-32.7%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.2%3-17.6%3-25.5%3-32.7%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-08.2%4+-111.9%4+-28.6%4+-34.2%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.7% — — —

Draw 16.4% — — —

Away win 20.9% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 53.6% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 45.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob70.3%

H 63% / xG 3.0-1.5 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.6%

#2 3–1 7.6%

#3 1–1 5.1%

#4 4–1 5.7%

#5 2–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Strømsgodset II3.0

Tromsø II1.5

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 53.6%

Form & verdict PPG

STRØMSGODSET II · PPG 1.57

TROMSØ II · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.53 for Home, form 1.57 vs 0.33 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Strømsgodset II (H) 62.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tromsø II (A) 20.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Strømsgodset II face Tromsø II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Strømsgodset II a 63% chance, the draw 16% and Tromsø II 21%, so Strømsgodset II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Strømsgodset II and 1.5 for Tromsø II (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Strømsgodset II are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.33 for Tromsø II.

Strømsgodset II vs Tromsø II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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