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Bossekop vs Floya Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 11:00

Bossekop

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Floya

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-14.7%0-27.5%0-37.9%0-4+13.9%1 1-01.5%1-14.9%1-27.8%1-38.2%1-4+14.4%2 2-00.8%2-12.5%2-24.0%2-34.2%2-4+7.4%3 3-00.3%3-10.9%3-21.4%3-31.5%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.9% — — —

Draw 20.9% — — —

Away win 65.2% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 60.5% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 20%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob59.7%

A 65% / xG 1.0-3.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 8.2%

#2 0–3 7.9%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 0–2 7.5%

#5 1–4 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bossekop1.0

Floya3.2

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 60.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BOSSEKOP · PPG 1.00

FLOYA · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Bossekop (H) 13.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Floya (A) 65.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bossekop face Floya in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bossekop a 14% chance, the draw 21% and Floya 65%, so Floya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Bossekop and 3.2 for Floya (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bossekop are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Floya. This match finished 2-5.

Bossekop vs Floya Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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