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Prykarpattia vs Ahrobiznes V. Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 10:00

Prykarpattia

PPG 1.07 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Ahrobiznes V.

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.0%0-115.4%0-27.4%0-32.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.9%1-113.4%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-06.0%2-15.8%2-22.8%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.7%3-11.7%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.0% 41.7% 2.40 -23.2%

Draw 32.5% 38.2% 2.62 -14.8%

Away win 35.5% 33.3% 3.00 +6.5%

Over 2.5 35.0% 40.0% 2.50 -12.5%

Over 3.5 11.4% 21.1% 4.75 -27.5%

BTTS 48.6% 48.8% 2.05 -0.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.6%

D 32% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.0%

#2 1–1✓ 13.4%

#3 0–1 15.4%

#4 1–0 13.9%

#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Prykarpattia0.9

Ahrobiznes V.1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PRYKARPATTIA · PPG 1.07

AHROBIZNES V. · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Prykarpattia (H) 32.0%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -23.2%

Draw 32.5%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -14.8%

Ahrobiznes V. (A) 35.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +6.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Prykarpattia face Ahrobiznes V. in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Prykarpattia a 32% chance, the draw 33% and Ahrobiznes V. 36%, so Ahrobiznes V. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Prykarpattia and 1.0 for Ahrobiznes V. (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Prykarpattia are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.29 for Ahrobiznes V.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +6.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Prykarpattia vs Ahrobiznes V. Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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